Hurricane researchers have slightly reduced their forecast totals for this year’s hurricane season, but still anticipate above-normal activity for the seventh consecutive season.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the United States trimmed their Atlantic hurricane predictions to a 60% chance of an above-normal season (from 65%), with 14-20 named storms, six to 10 hurricanes, and three to five major hurricanes (Category 3+) between June and November.
Colorado State University (CSU) researchers now call for 18 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major hurricanes (down from 19, nine hurricanes and the same amount of major hurricanes from their April report). This includes the three named storms that have already formed in 2022 (Alex, Bonnie, and Colin).
Between 1991 and 2020, the average season had 14 named storms, with seven becoming hurricanes…